Fortuna Silver Mines Stock Performance

FSM Stock  USD 9.78  1.71  14.88%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Fortuna Silver holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.23, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fortuna Silver will likely underperform. Please check Fortuna Silver's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Fortuna Silver's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fortuna Silver Mines are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Fortuna Silver displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(14.88)
Five Day Return
(15.69)
Year To Date Return
2.52
Ten Year Return
280.54
All Time Return
446.37
1
Falkland Islands-based Fortuna buys UK firm Ocean Fish
11/28/2025
2
Assessing Fortuna Mining Valuation After Positive Diamba Sud Exploration Results and Expanding Mineralization
12/12/2025
3
AG Stock Soars 205 percent in a Year Whats Aiding Its Performance - TradingView Track All Markets
12/30/2025
4
Assessing Fortuna Mining Valuation After Its Recent Name Change And Strong One Year Return
01/05/2026
5
Fortuna Mining Delivers West Africa Growth Supporting S and P TSX Index
01/13/2026
6
Fortuna Mining Corp. Has Gained More Than 59 percent Over The Past 6 Months
01/16/2026
7
Gold Ore Market Outlook and Growth Analysis Report 2025-2034 Global Economic Uncertainty and Inflationary Pressures are Increasing Investor Appetite
01/22/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow128.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-194.4 M

Fortuna Silver Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  822.00  in Fortuna Silver Mines on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  156.00  from holding Fortuna Silver Mines or generate 18.98% return on investment over 90 days. Fortuna Silver Mines is generating 0.3432% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.3868% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Fortuna, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Fortuna Silver is expected to generate 4.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Fortuna Silver Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fortuna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.78 90 days 9.78 
about 40.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortuna Silver to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.4 (This Fortuna Silver Mines probability density function shows the probability of Fortuna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fortuna Silver will likely underperform. Additionally Fortuna Silver Mines has an alpha of 0.4826, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fortuna Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortuna Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortuna Silver Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fortuna Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.529.9113.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9111.3014.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.6510.0313.42
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7414.0015.54
Details

Fortuna Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortuna Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortuna Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortuna Silver Mines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortuna Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Fortuna Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortuna Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortuna Silver Mines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortuna Silver Mines had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fortuna Silver Mines is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Fortuna Silver Mines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Centerra Gold Receives Permit Amendments for Mount Milligan to Continue Operations Through 2035 Meets Expedited Schedule as Per Commitment from the Province of British Columbia

Fortuna Silver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortuna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortuna Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortuna Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding310.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments231.3 M

Fortuna Silver Fundamentals Growth

Fortuna Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fortuna Silver, and Fortuna Silver fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fortuna Stock performance.

About Fortuna Silver Performance

By examining Fortuna Silver's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fortuna Silver's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fortuna Silver is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 61.50  41.14 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.11 

Things to note about Fortuna Silver Mines performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortuna Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortuna Silver Mines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fortuna Silver Mines had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fortuna Silver Mines is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Fortuna Silver Mines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Centerra Gold Receives Permit Amendments for Mount Milligan to Continue Operations Through 2035 Meets Expedited Schedule as Per Commitment from the Province of British Columbia
Evaluating Fortuna Silver's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fortuna Silver's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fortuna Silver's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fortuna Silver's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fortuna Silver's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fortuna Silver's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fortuna Silver's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fortuna Silver's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fortuna Silver's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fortuna Silver's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fortuna Silver's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Fortuna Silver Mines is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fortuna Silver's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fortuna Silver's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fortuna Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fortuna Silver Mines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Fortuna diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortuna Silver. Market participants price Fortuna higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fortuna Silver data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.352
Earnings Share
0.84
Revenue Per Share
4.084
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.383
Return On Assets
0.1219
Investors evaluate Fortuna Silver Mines using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fortuna Silver's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fortuna Silver's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortuna Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortuna Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fortuna Silver's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.